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單晶硅料市場將處于緊平衡狀態
發表時間:2020-3-6   |  來源于:中國能源報  |  作者:中國能源報  |  點擊數:98 

    congshichangxuqiulaikan,duojingguibutongchanpindanjingguiliaoheduojingguiliaochuxianmingxianfenhua。2019nian,danjingguipianshichangzhanbishoucichaoguoduojing,dadao65%,tongbizengjia20gebaifendian。shouciyingxiang,jiezhi2019niandi,guoneidanjingguiliaochanliangshichangzhanbitishengzhi70%。

    2月25日,在光伏行業2019年發展回顧與2020年形勢展望在線研討會上,中國有色金屬工業協會硅分會副秘書長馬海天就2019—2020年我國多晶硅產業現狀及趨勢做了分析報告。報告顯示,2019年,我國多晶硅投產產能和產量均有提升,但在全國產能并未滿負荷釋放的前提下,滿足國內需求仍需要靠海外進口。預計2020年,我國多晶硅產量將進一步釋放,海外進口需求將較2019年稍有減少。同時,預計今年下半年單晶產品需求將逐漸顯現,單晶硅料或將出現階段性供應緊張的情況。

    shujuxianshi,2019nian,woguoduojingguitouchanchannengda45.2wandun,xiangbi2018niandizengchang16.5%;quannianchanliangyuewei34.4wandun,tongbizengjia32.8%。suiranwoguoduojingguigongyingdafuzengjia,danchannengbingmeiyoumanfuheshifang。zaiciqingkuangxia,2019nian,woguoleijijinkouduojinggui14wandun,jibenyu2018nianchiping。

    baogaoxianshi,2019nianwoguoduojingguishichangchanyejizhongdujiaogao。2019nian,woguozaichanduojingguiqiyeshuliangjianshaozhi13jia。dao2019niandi,woguoduojingguichannengzhuyaojizhongzaixinjiang、neimenggu、jiangsu、sichuandengshengqu,channengjizhongdaoda88.7%。

    zhongguoguangfuxingyexiehuishujuweishangshuguandianzuolebuchong。2019nian,duojingguilingyupaimingqianwudeqiyechanliangyuewei23.7wandun,yuezhanquanguozongchanliangde69.3%,tongbizengchang9gebaifendian;chanliangdawandunjiyishangdeqiyecong2018niande7jiajianshaozhi6jia,chanliangzhanbigaoda83.9%,tongbitisheng12.1gebaifendian。

    mahaitianrenwei,suizhuguoneiduojingguiguganqiyechannengzhujianxiangziyuanhuayoushidiquzhuanyi,xinjiang、neimenggu、sichuandeduojingguichannengguimoyoushijianggengjiatuxian,yujiweilaishangshusandashengqudechannengjiangchaoguoguoneiduojingguizongchannengde80%,duojingguichanyejiangjixuxiangziyuanyoushidiqujizhong。

    congshichangxuqiulaikan,duojingguibutongchanpindanjingguiliaoheduojingguiliaochuxianmingxianfenhua。zi2018nianchukaishi,danjingguipianchannengguimokuaisukuozhang,weimanzuxiayouxuqiu,guoneiduojingguiqiyezaichannengkuozhangdetongshi,yejiasuletaiyangnengjiduojingguiliaopinzhidetisheng,guoneidanjingguiliaochanliangzhanbicongdangniannianchude16.2%zengjiadaoniandide44.9%。

    2019nian,danjingchanpinzhanbichixutisheng。suizhuchanpinchengbendekuaisuxiajiang,danjingdianchipianhedanjingzujiantixianchulegenghaodexingjiabiyoushi。2019nian,danjingguipianqiyechixukuozhangchanneng,longjigufen2019niandanjingguipianchannengyidadao35jiwa,zhonghuangufendanjingguipianchannengyechaoguo24jiwa。2019nian,danjingguipianshichangzhanbishoucichaoguoduojing,dadao65%,tongbizengjia20gebaifendian。shouciyingxiang,jiezhi2019niandi,guoneidanjingguiliaochanliangshichangzhanbitishengzhi70%。qizhong,xintenengyuan、xinjiangdaquan、sichuanyongxiangdetejiliaozhanbijunkedadao80%yishang。

    jiagefangmian,2019nian,duojingguijiagezhendangxiadie。mahaitianshuo,youyuguoneixinzengchannengjieduanxingshifanggongyingliang,erxuqiuzengchangbujiyuqi,zengsuyugongyingzengsubuyizhi,daozhiquannianduojingguijiagebiandong。congpinzhongfenleilaikan,danjingguiliaoheduojingguiliaojiagediefuchajujiaoda。quanqiuduojingzhimiliaoxiadie22.2yuan/gongjin,jiaonianchudie30.1%;danjingzhimiliaojinxiadie8yuan/gongjin,jiaonianchudiefuwei10.1%。danjingguiliao、duojingguiliaojiagezoushichuxianmingxianfenhua,danjingguiliaojiagechengxianxiangduipingwendezoushi,duojingguiliaozechixuxiadie。

    zhanwang2020nian,zaidanjingguipianchixukuozhangdebeijingxia,danjingguiliaojiangchengweiduojingguihuanjiedezhuzhanchang。jubaogao,2020nian,danjingguipianchannengjiangdadao125jiwa,jiao2019niande95jiwazengjia50jiwa。yicituisuan,yuji2020nian,duidanjingguiliaodexuqiuzai36wandunyishang,anzhaoguoneidanjingguiliaochanliangzhanbi70%debili,chanliangdayuezai27wandunzuoyou。jiashanghaiwaishichangyue9wandundedanjingguiliaochanneng,yujidanjingguiliaoshichangchuyujinpinghengdezhuangtai。

    zhongguoguangfuxingyexiehuifulishichangjianmishuchangwangbohuarenwei,youyu2020nianzhuyaoqiyejunmeiyoukuochanjihua,luohouchannengzaijiageyalixiayejiangzhubuchuqing,haiwaiduojingguichannengkenenghuiyinweiyingliyaliertingchan,yuji2020nianduojingguihuanjiezhengtigongxugejujianghuiquyujinzhang。suizhuxinguanfeiyanyiqingyingxiangdezhubuxiaosan,jiageyouwangqiwenhuisheng,yinglinenglijianghuizhubutisheng。



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